The escalation of uncertainties in the global scenario continues to affect market behavior and feeding volatility on risk resources. According to XP technical analysts, Gilberto Coelho, Giba, the dollar returned $ 6 and has technical evidence of trend use, in the short term, from low to high.
“Today the trading system points to a long -term purchase. The region for $ 5.70 has been supported, and Fibonacci’s Projection has already directed at $ 6.17,” he said during a special live do FancyAbout the current market moment and investment opportunities, with the mediation of Mariana Amaro and the participation of Fernando Perse, chief economist at the XP access.
For him, the current scenario contributes to crisis and uncertainty to this estimate of the American currency. “The investor must work with stops. The signs are clear: Disney will come further and longer,” he joked with reference to the emission of the dollar that can hinder international trips.
International scholarships
Within the international index, the warning is also careful. THE Nasdaq lost support from 19,100 pointsWhich can accommodate new tests at lower levels. “It’s not yet a trend yield scenario, it’s just a Repique. The most important consoles are within 17,000 and 14,000 points,” he said.
S&P 500, according to Giba, will only point again high trend if it exceeds 5,000 points. Despite the warning tone, the analyst emphasized that moments such as the current are also learning opportunities – especially for beginner investors.
“Storms form great sailors. It’s a moment of learning, yes, but also of opportunities. We never know exactly how far the prices will fall, but there is already a chance to get into the American bag.”
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Based on graphic analysis and perspective in Fibonacci’s theory, Giba sees space for strategies for ‘Long and short and short“, which consists of buying assets that have fallen a lot and sells those who fell a bit. However, the main recommendation is diversification.
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“The investor must be prepared. The ideal is to keep part of the portfolio at a fixed tip and make selective distribution in the bag. That’s why you can sail better in this lively sea,” he concluded.
Technical analysis
During the conversation, Giba emphasized the importance of moving averages in technical analysis. According to him, Ibovespa has worked during the 21 -day sliding average, which in his opinion represents a warning sign.
“In particular, I do not like to operate assets that are below this average. It is a time of caution, ideal for those who want to reduce exposure and sell ETFs as a form of protection,” he said.
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Coelho also pointed out that although the moment is challenging, he also offers opportunities for those who have a risk appetite.
“Yes, there is a small window to buy American scholarship. But it is right to diversify: Keep part of fixed income capital and make quick allocations in shares so as not to suffer so much of volatility.”
Despite the cautious tone, the XP expert comments that the moment requires more strategy than panic.
“We hope that an agreement will be signed between the powers, but even if this does not happen, protection and risk management are necessary for Brazilian investors,” concluded Giba.