A tension wave swept the global markets after the long -standing US customs messages, which set a strong risk aversion and led important prices such as Nasdaq, S & P500 and IBovespa to register expressive cases.
To International scholarshipsRather, resistant to the expectations of the protectionist measures from US President Donald Trump, they eventually gave up to 34% imposed China and similar retaliation adopted by the Asian giant. Nasdaq, for example, entered into Bear market.
The dollar fired, while goods such as oil and ore met significant cases, reflecting the growing fear of a possible global economic slowdown.
In Brazil, Ibovespa felt the turbulence Tightly, the week ends with losses above 3%, in its worst result since December 2022, while the US currency approached R $ 6.00.
Dollar, bags and goods: How do you place yourself?
In this context, for this Monday (7) and even throughout the week, analysts recommend extra attention to the technical movements in Ibovesppa, S & P500 and Nasdaq, which will be able to test critical support for customs safety.
In the exchange rate, the dollar should follow fleeting, and it is important to follow the advance or relief in commercial tension between US and China. Among goods, gold may have appearance as a defensive asset in the midst of instability, while oil will remain sensitive to political and economic decisions.
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American bags: Nasdaq and S & P500
Starts with the American bags, Nasdaq It accumulates low at almost 22% during the year and works in a low trend and according to XP technical analyst Gilberto Coelho approaches the index important support in 17,000 points. “If lost may lead the index to test 14,000 points”, Coelho warns, which can further intensify the seller’s movement.
To S & P500that withdraws 17.5% this year, Giba points out that the autumn movement leads to the index approaching Support zones important, with emphasis on the region near 5,000 points – Patamar observed last May last year. If it is broken, the S&P 500 can accelerate the case toward 4,700 or even 4 100 points.
Ibovespa
Unlike us bags, Ibovespa It still maintains a festive tower, even after giving 2.96% last Friday.
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“With Friday’s movement, the index tested by 126,700 points, which is a recall of 61.8% of Fibonacci. This is a relevant technical point, where Ibovespa tends to have difficulty following the case.”
Carvalho, however, warns that if the seller volume remains dominant in the next trading sessions, the index still has Support zones Relevant in 125,500 and 122,500 points. The loss of these levels can signal a possible trend stool, he adds.
Dollar
The future dollar (dolfut) continues to work in a lateral lane in the macro scenario, according to Alex Carvalho. The main support of the asset, from the technical point of view, is in 5 590 pointsExtreme region’s relevance of previous funds.
Carvalho points out that in recent sessions, correction of the dollar was accompanied by an increase in buyer volume and reached 61.8% Fibonacci accessoriesin the region 5,865 points. For him, this level represents a possible difficulty for the asset to maintain rise.
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“If the future dollar (dolfut) can break the resistance of 5,900 points, the market should focus on new tests in the regions of 5,950 and 6,020 points.”
Petroleum and petrobras
Meanwhile petrobrase (Petr4) is in a crucial technical region after the latest instability, according to Rafael Perretti, Clear’s Technical Analyst. In the short term, according to him, the investor should carefully monitor the variable average of 200 periods, a historical critical support that has prevented major cases in recent years.
Perretti warns that if there is a loss of this region, there may be a deeper correction, especially after the latest gaps caused by balance sheets, fluctuations in oil prices and customs changes.
In relation to oil, which directly affects Petr4Analysts recommend attention, facing geopolitical tensions that are triggered by customs advertisements made by Donald Trump, who made Barrel Price falls 7%and crashing oil companies’ shares.
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Nevertheless, Perretti evaluates that Opec can intervene To stabilize prices and get oil again to levels between $ 75 and $ 80. If this happens, the investor must prepare for a rapid recovery of Petrobras measures in the short term.
Gold; ‘Porto Seguro’
Finally, Gold met a significant turn after the announcement of more aggressive tariffs by US President Donald Trump. On Thursday, the precious metal reached a historical post of 3 167.84 US $ of Jaguar, driven by concern about a possible global trade war. But on Friday, gold recorded a drop in 2.4%… …
However, analysis of the weekly gold diagram, in dollars, the high trend is obvious. Since the breaking of the region $ 3,000 – Historical barrier that has never been exceeded before – access has renewed peaks and shown to buy power. The last week, in 3 167.84 US $marked a new historical disc for the metal.
Yet the weekly closure of falling 1.54%Added to a light with a long upper shade, indicates increased sales pressure, especially after the best renewal.
Check out more content if technical analysis in I am a trader. Daily infomoney publishes what one might expect from dollars and index minihoods.