The last few days have been moved to ibovespa and global markets in general, with the week starting with expectation of the announcement of Donald Trump, US president of global customs, after a repercussion gradually from the decisions of the US leader and ended the last two sessions in the period with strong risk aversion.
During the week, 3.52% loss was the highest for the B3 index since the week 12 to 16 December 2022. In the collection of the first four sessions in April, 2.31% decreases rise -during the year, 5.80%.
Check out the active movement during this turbulent week for investors:
- Expectations of customs
The week began to permeate expectations of Donald Trump’s “liberation day”, which would take place on Wednesday (2), at 17 hours (Brazlia -time). Although a few days left for the announcement, Monday (31), the last day of the quarter, began with low to Ibovespa with fear of Trump’s customs package, which led to a risk escape. Baixa makes the benchmark for the scholarship during that session was 1.25%, But still enough for the index to rise 6.08% of the month March.
Already on Eve of Liberation Day, April 1, Ibovespa took place from external caution and closed with profits of 0.68%at 131,147.29 points. From the smallest to maximum session, it was from 130,080.54 to 131,982.29 points, which left the opening at 130 266.57 points.
2. AD’s day
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April 2, a Wednesday, arrived and gave high expectations for Trump’s announcement in the late afternoon. During much of Wednesday’s session Ibovespspa operated and closed around zero to zero and waited for the lines near the closing adjustments.
If ibovespa in sight was closed with a little positive variation of 0.03%The same cannot be said of the future index, which was closed at 18:25reverberation at least the first reactions to Trump’s lines.
In the first minutes of the speech and before the announcement of more direct action, Indj25 reached 1.53%, to 133,680 points, softened the winnings and, as Trump detailed customs measurements, began to fall, by at least 130,900 points below the lines, or a decrease of 0.58%.
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The future index recovered again, but soon had stronger cases and closed 0.69%, to 130 750 points, also followedThe case of US markets.
Trump announced the fixation of a lowest speed of 10% on imports from all countries. However, nations that apply prices that are considered to be “high” to American products will face even higher prices. Already mutual tariffs for China will be 34%, while the European Union products will be taxed at 20%. For Japan, South Korea and India, the surcharge will be 24%, 25%and 26%respectively. Switzerland imports will have 31%, while Venezuela products will be taxed at 15%. Brazil was taxed at a minimum level of 10%.
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Dow Jones fell 5.50%at 38,314.86 points; The S&P 500 gave 5.97%at 5,074.08 points; and Nasdaq withdrew 5.82%at 15,587.79 points
“When the press conference began, the president said the customs would start with a 10% base for all cases. This was better than expected, which caused the future to rise. But when he went into the details and began to give examples of significantly higher prices than the 10%, it was when it (USA) Futures turned to the negative, as it was worse,” said Chris, “Zechalli,” ” to the strong volume Future index after regular closure of the market.
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While autumn was relatively modest in the Brazilian post marketThe same cannot be said of NY’s future, Which even dropped between 1.5% and 2.3% shortly after the announcement on Wednesday.
3. Postnance session
At Trump’s Thursday (3) retracting session, ibovespa fled relatively undamaged from the side effects of liberation day with the realized tariff-and that It would have been cheap at first for Brazil When taxed at the expected minimum price, in effect from this Saturday (5).
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Following the protectionist “liberation”, most global markets underwent a sharp correction, especially 5.97% diving of the New York Technology Index, Nasdaq. Dow Jones gave 3.98% and the S&P 500 fell 4.84%. In Brazil, the B3 index closed just below stability (-0.04%) at 131,140.65 points.
The day after the US Tariff was a limited retreat to iron ore prices in China and free fall to oil in London and New York, with losses above 6% at the closure of Brent and WTI.
Despite the negative performance of commodity giants – Vale (Coupon3) and petrobrasPetr4) The day was advanced for large banks’ actions, in an interval above 1% for Itaú (Itub4; PN +1.78%), Bradesco (BBDC3; On +1.88%, BBDC4; PN +1 92%) and Santander (Sanb11; Unit +1.40%). At the winning tip, the aure (Aure3; +7 58%), Magazine Luiza (MGLU3; +5.45%) and IGUEMIE (IGTI11; +5.12%). On the opposite side, angry (BRAV3; -7,18%), prio (Prio3; -6.95%) and São Martinho (SMTO3; -5.79%).
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In general, at Thursday’s session, the future interest in education companies such as YduQs increased (er (Yduq3; +3.78%) and favored roles in the consumer, retail and construction sector, such as Renner stores (Lren3; +2.24%), Assai (Asai3; +4.58%), Cyrela (Cyre3; +4.39%) and the magazine Luiza, said Alison Correia, analyst at Dom Investmentos.
4. Next trading session: Even worse – and very bad for Brazil
Friday’s trading session also reserved strong feelings to the market, especially after China’s announcement to the United States – identical 34% when importing imports.
This has strengthened the view that the global economic stagnation is on its way to the Trump government’s protectionist tide. Thus, Oil fell for the second day, Dollar rose 3.68%, to R $ 5.83and ibovespa had its greatest Autumn since December 18, a decrease of 2.96%, at 127,256.00 points, Retraining in mid -March, with very enhanced turn, to $ 31.8 billion.
Check out Ibovespa’s performance during the week:
If, on Thursday, the performance of the banks and the actions was associated with the domestic cycle enough to keep Ibovespa near zero to zero -i a day that had already been a global correction -on Friday, the spread of losses was inevitable.
The New York scholarships in turn fell for the second day in a row and closed the trading session with losses over 5% on its three main shares. The general sense of risk aversion intensified early in the session, with the announcement that China intends to avenge the United States with a 34% duty over US import.
Dow Jones fell 5.50%at 38,314.86 points; you? And Nasdaq withdrew 5.82% at 15,587.79 points and entered Bear Market with a drop of more than 20% since his record in December. During the week, Dow Jones fell 7.86%, the S&P 500 lost 9.08%and Nasdaq fell 10.02%.
It was the worst weekly performance for the three prices since the height of the Covid-19 crisis, which has raised concerns about a possible recession of the largest economy on the planet.
The measures for the so -called “seven magnificent” – Microsoft, Tesla, Nvidia, Apple, Amazon.com, Meta platforms and alphabets – also dropped again, just one day after the group loses $ 1.03 trillion in market value. Over the past two days, the loss added $ 1.83 trillion, which has accumulated for $ 4.26 trillion devaluation since the beginning of the new government.
Vix Volatility Index, known as “Fear themometer” on Wall Street rose about 50%, When they reach the highest level since August 2024. “In this environment, of doubt and uncertainty, investors have triggered the panic button and intensified the search for assets that are considered safer, which was reflected in the strong case in the return of the cash registers (due to the estimate of these titles),” says investments.
5. Uncertainties will continue?
In the midst of so much market voltility and recession, Trump’s next step and the reaction from the countries – except China – is whether the retaliation of customs will be on investors radar.
“It’s a kind (realization of) Worst fear of the course That the customs program takes, says Rick Meccler, partner for Cherry Lane Investments, a family investment office in New Vernon, New Jersey.
“For investors who were sure it was only a negotiation – although this can still be true at some point – the situation is much more in detail and becomes more dangerous for companies.”
(with Reuters and Estadão content)