On Monday, a large -scale wave of risk rejection spread to global markets when the United States enters low territory, and its European colleagues repeat the sale, since the new tariffs introduced by Donald Trump shocked the confidence of investors.
The S&P 500 futures index fell below the key limit of 5,000 points over half of the morning negotiations in Europe, which was a decrease by more than 20% compared to February 2025.
This can marked the official S&P 500 entry in the territory with a low market agreed with the NASDAQ 100, which has already exceeded this threshold last Friday, after noticeable losses in technological actions.
If we consider the last three sessions, it is expected that S&P 500 will fall by 12.5%, causing comparison with some of the most dramatic falls in modern history, including an accident in October 2008 and the Black Monday of 1987.
“The USA after President Donald Trump announced his new tariffs, he will be remembered in history textbooks, since he called the fourth largest falling on S&P 500 from the moment of its creation in 1957,” Monday said on Monday on Monday on Monday.
“The markets clearly entered the new phase of aggravated volatility,” he added.
Tesla Inc. shares They fell by more than 5% in negotiations on the preliminary market, positioning shares for a fall of more than 50% compared to its peak at the end of 2024.
So -called seven magnificent – including giants Apple Inc., Microsoft Corp., Amazon.com, Alphabet, Meta Platforms and Nvidia Technology – have lost more than $ 2 billion in the last days last days.
On Friday, Apple, the most valuable company in the world, registered a 15% loss for three sessions – its sharp fall since October 2008.
World markets fall with increased risks of recession
The Asian markets suffered historical losses, since the Hand Cong Conga index fell 13% at night – its worst daily indicators since the Asian financial crisis of 1997, while the Japanese Nikkei 225 fell by more than 8%.
European scholarships followed the example of the morning session, when the Euroxx 50 Euro fell by 4%, Germany Dax fell by 3.5%, and the losses accelerate in southern Europe: FTSE MIB fell by 4.8%, the iBex 35 fell by 4.3%, and the France CAC 40 fell by 4.1%.
Investors are preparing to influence a chain on an economy that depends on trade, business profit and global inflation dynamics. According to JP Morgan, there are currently 60% of the probability of recession in the United States and around the world, referring to the risk of new tariffs to cause inferior violations, while causing a cycle of compensation for protectionist policy.
The chief economist Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius also examined his prospects, increasing the likelihood of US recession to 12 months from 35% to 45%. In a statement on Monday, Khazius referred to strengthening financial conditions, increasing geopolitical uncertainty and signs of reducing investment in business.
“The boycott of foreign consumers and the expected collapse of companies should affect capital expenses more than previously expected,” he said.
If all announced tariffs enters into force, Goldman expects an effective tariff fee for American tariffs to increase about 20 percentage points even after it accepts possible exceptions or future negotiations. “If so, we hope to change our prognosis for a recession,” Khazius added.
European dilemma: retaliation or maintain?
In Brussels, employees walk along a tiny line, and political persons who make decisions are pressure to answer.
“Trump bets are a declaration in world trade.
“International relations depend on trust, trust and obligations related to the rules, and not with shock therapy,” he said.
Thomas Casas Chat, a professor of international management at the same university, said that the EU should avoid his answer as a trade war and instead focus on use. “The political goal of Brussels should be to avoid worsening economic suffering and increasing inflation between the European audience, which is already in tension and susceptible to radicalization,” he said.
Bill Dianni, responsible for the macroeconomic investigation by ABN Amro, said that the potential use of an anticzar instrument, a legal tool that allows specific countermeasures against the countries using economic coercion remains ambiguous.
The Divine warned about the consequences in the European economy, namely, the possible increase in the goods of the discharge of Asian exporters.
Andrea Milani, the strategic rate of the alleged Sanpao, said that the monetary policy currently depends on the fact that central banks give priority to growth or inflation.
“The management of monetary policy in the coming months will depend on the fact that central banks are more concerned about shock of growth or inflation of tariffs,” Milani said. Although the President of the Federal Reserve Paul Powell minimized the consequences of tariffs as “transients”, the same word cost him a period after Panday.